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Monday, 28 September 2009

  • Recap of Week 4

    Week 4 highlights:
    • I'm still convinced that Tennessee is looking at a 7 win season, at best. After the Vols downed Ohio U by 11, you could feel the uneasiness about this team. This wasn't the performance that Tennessee needed, especially after their showing against Florida. I just don't think that Jonathon Crompton can lead this team to victory in a close game, so the Vols will have to lean on their running game and their defense (without Nick Reveiz, sadly). I expect wins against Memphis, Vandy, and Kentucky, but outside of those opponents, I have no idea where the other wins will come from. The Vols have a pretty rough schedule in the next 4 weeks (Auburn, Georgia, at Alabama, South Carolina). Tennessee needs to win 2 of those 4 games.
    • Ohio State's defense is really stepping up. The defense racked up another shutout, this time against Illinois. Weaknesses exist (see Chimdi Chekwa), but this unit is anchored by a very deep and talented defensive line, which will continue to give their opponents fits. Let's hope that their performance against Navy is in the rear-view mirror.
    • Terrelle Pryor is still overrated and continues to look lost at times. I'm hoping that by the time November arrives, he'll have found his comfort zone because he's not there yet. TP still seems to be struggling with the zone-read and his willingness to either run or pass. Please, Terrelle, trust your first instinct.
    • After seeing more "major upsets," the AP poll and coaches poll should not be released until week 1 of the BCS rankings, period. These "preseason" rankings mean nothing until we can get a real feel for the teams who stand out week in and week out.
    • Florida and Alabama appear to be head and shoulders above everyone else right now. Texas is a close second. Beyond those three teams, it's a crap shoot. I do know one thing though - Boise State is NOT the #5 team in the country.
    • After watching Cal and Miami get destroyed in the afternoon, Penn State laid a golden egg against Iowa. After being torched by a beautiful 79-yard TD pass on Penn State's first offensive play, the Iowa defense completely shutdown the Penn State offense. Turnovers were definitely a factor, but Daryll Clark looked very uncomfortable, especially when the Hawkeyes put a little bit of pressure on him. Buckeye fans are hoping for a similar outcome in Happy Valley this November.
    • Did I mention that Notre Dame is still overrated? This team could easily be 1-3, if not for an overthrown Michigan State receiver in the end zone (the Spartans turned the ball over on the next play) and a timeout called by Purdue (which gave ND the opportunity to run an extra play inside the 5 - the Irish scored on that extra play).
    • The Pac-10 title race is going to be a total crap shoot, just like the annual ACC division race. Your early conference leader - Stanford (2-0). The only undefeated team left - UCLA (3-0, although they haven't played a conference game yet). 
    • Sleepers - Cincinnati, South Carolina, Kansas, Iowa
    • Overrated - Notre Dame, LSU, Ole Miss, Boise State, Penn State
    • Wait-and-See - TCU, South Florida

Monday, 21 September 2009

  • Recap of Week 3

    Monday morning quarterbacking after week 3:
    • Tennessee did exactly what I thought they would against Florida - lose while finding a way to not get humiliated. The Vols can definitely take something positive away from this game, but they still have a long way to go - 9 more games, to be exact. Unfortunately, Jonathon Crompton and the Tennessee wide receivers are not very good. Thankfully, the Vols have a solid defense and a good running game. Don't be surprised if opposing defenses load up to stop the run every week, forcing Crompton to make big plays. Both Tennessee and Florida need to avoid USC's annual post-big game letdown next week.
    • No one has admitted this yet, but Tim Tebow's 4th quarter fumble inside the 5 was a 14-point swing. Without that turnover, Florida would have taken a 30-6 lead. That's an ugly score that likely would have gotten uglier.
    • Florida will lose at least one game this season. You heard it here first.
    • Of the three Heisman front runners from last season, only Tebow seems to be in "good" (not great) form (Bradford is injured, McCoy looks very shaky).
    • Now that I've mentioned it, what is wrong with USC? After the Washington's performance against LSU and Matt Barkley's injury, I actually picked the Huskies to win this game (college pick 'em). How can you differentiate between the treatment of Jim Tressel, who can't seem to win the "big" game, and Pete Carroll, who continues to choke against a lesser opponent every year? Still, you have to give credit to the Huskies for coming up with the W.
    • Ohio State's defense took a major step forward in shutting out the high-scoring Toledo offense at Cleveland Browns Stadium. Terrelle Pryor had a career day also, but I'd like to see him have the same impact in a meaningful game. 
    • Utah and BYU both went down, which opens a clear path for Boise State to go to a BCS game. I will be shocked if the Broncos lose a game this year. Want proof? Look at their schedule. Houston and TCU could be in the BCS mix, if Boise State falters. 
    • The Big Ten continues to suck, but what else is new? Penn State and Ohio State are the clear front runners, but after that, it's a total crap shoot. Oddly enough, Michigan is positioning itself as the #3/4 team in the conference. The Buckeyes should be on notice.
    • Notre Dame is overrated, as usual. Michigan State blew a chance to win the game in the final minute, before throwing a costly interception in the red zone to end the game (Cousins also overthrew a wide-open receiver in the end zone on the previous play). The next three games could determine if Charlie Weis stays or goes at year's end.
    • Sleepers - Miami, Cincinnati, Michigan, Washington
    • Overrated - Notre Dame, LSU, Virginia Tech, Texas
    • Wait-and-See - Ole Miss, Penn State, TCU, North Carolina

Wednesday, 16 September 2009

  • Close, but once again, no cigar!

    Kudos to Matt Barkley and the USC Trojans. They did what they had to do in order to win in the 'Shoe. It was a game that clearly could have gone either way, but great teams find a way to win in situations like those, and the USC Trojans proved that they are once again, among the elite in college football.

    The Buckeyes did exactly what I thought they needed to do in order to win the game- slow down the USC running attack. Unfortunately, the one "given" that I assumed they had in their corner (Terrelle Pryor) played his worst game in a Buckeye uniform. Give credit to USC's defense for forcing him to make some strange decisions. However, a lot of his mistakes are on TP and no one else (3rd play from scrimmage, for example).

    The play of the game had to be the 3rd-and-9 completion from Barkley to McKnight deep in OSU territory on the game winning drive. TP got sacked on 3rd down on the previous drive, which put Jim Tressel in a difficult position - let Aaron Pettrey line up for a 54-yard field goal (he has made from 50+ multiple times in his career), or pin the Trojans deep and make them drive the field for a go-ahead TD. True to his style, Tressel sent the punt team on, and Jon Thoma pinned the Trojans down at the 14 yard line. In hind-sight, it's easy to criticize Tressel's decision to punt. Obviously, had Pryor not gotten sacked, Pettrey would have kicked a 48-yard field goal, and USC would still be in the same position - score a touchdown or go home.

    The OSU defense played a great ball game, and it's impossible for me to criticize them. They rarely got through the vaunted USC offensive line, but they did disrupt Barkley enough throughout the game to make a difference. McKnight and Stafon Johnson didn't have a lot of running room all night. However, McKnight's ability to make a nice move on Ross Homan shook him free on that 3rd-and-9 pass, and McKnight was wide open for an easy 20+ yard gain.

    A few things stood out for me after Saturday night's game.
    • Ohio State hasn't been destroyed in the "big game" in the last 3 tries, which is a welcome change from the previous 3. That is a step in the right direction, but it still hurts to think that if one or 2 plays had gone a different way in these 3 games (Penn State, Texas, USC), the result would have been different. Could-a, would-a, should-a...
    • Ohio State's defense is a lot better than most thought they would be, especially after their performance against Navy. However, just like Navy, they couldn't stop USC in short yardage situations (with the exception of this play). Personally, I would love to see Jim Tressel pull a Pete Carroll, put 3-4 wide receivers on the field on 3rd and short, and either run a QB sneak or a dive play.
    • Ohio State's offensive line was great in pass protection most of the night, which was a welcome sight. Run blocking, not so much (give credit to USC's run defense).
    • Terrelle Pryor took a major step backwards in his development. Again, credit USC's defense for some of that, but TP still has a lot of work to do.
    • Matt Barkley looked poised on two drives, but I'm not buying into the hype just yet. On the final drive, the 3rd down catch by McKnight was a dink-and-dunk pass, which is designed to get a young QB (like Barkley) in a comfortable rhythm. I didn't see a lot of great throws or reads by Barkley, but again, he did what he needed to do to get the win (just like Penn State's Pat Devlin against OSU last year).
    • Special teams play was great as usual. With the exception of USC's opening drive starting at the OSU 2 (after the interception return), USC's best starting field position was their own 26. That's another great stat.
    • On USC's only other drive of the 4th quarter, with the Trojan punter standing on the goal line, Grant Schwartz whiffed on an "easy" punt block attempt (simply overran it) with OSU leading, 15-10. Fortunately, he did what he is trained to do - don't dive into the punter - which would have resulted in a first down due to the whiff. OSU failed to score on the ensuing drive (TP sacked on 3rd down). 

    Ohio State has a relatively easy schedule until their showdown in Happy Valley (November 7th). Illinois and Wisconsin are both at home before then, but neither the Illini nor the Badgers have looked very good so far this season. Ohio State must continue to take it one game at a time, but the final 3 games (Penn State, Iowa, Michigan) will be the real tests.

    To those who are upset with Jim Tressel and his play calling - that philosophy won us a national title in 2002. Championship teams have to get a few bounces along the way, and we got our share in 2002. However, we haven't gotten a lot of those same bounces in big games as of late, and that has to catch up with a team at some point. It's just the law of averages. I still think Jim Tressel is a great coach. Yes, I would like to see him hire an offensive coordinator, but the worst thing we could do is lose him. He is a great coach, a great ambassador, and a great human being. To the few who are calling for his head, just remember that.

Wednesday, 09 September 2009

  • Redemption - Part IV

    Once again, college football pundits are pointing to this weekend as Ohio State's lone chance to redeem both themselves and the Big Ten for their previous "choke" jobs in big game situations, not to mention the conference's recent inferiority.

    Jim Tressel, who has had Michigan's number ever since he took the helm at Ohio State, has put himself in a John Cooper-like predicament (let's not forget, Coop would still be the head coach at Ohio State, if it weren't for his awful record against Michigan). After thrashing Notre Dame in the 2006 Fiesta Bowl, the Buckeyes have yet to defeat a ranked non-conference opponent since (losses to Florida, LSU, USC, and Texas). Last year's Fiesta Bowl loss to Texas was a step in the right direction for Ohio State, but Anderson Russell's missed tackle with 15 seconds to play gave the Longhorns a last-second victory.

    Saturday night's matchup with USC doesn't appear to be a lot different from last year's, with 2 exceptions. Mark Sanchez is playing with the Jets, so true freshman Matt Barkley will be the starting QB for the Trojans. Barkley looked shaky at times during practice in August, but those who doubted his ability were silenced after putting up some solid numbers in a blowout win versus San Jose State last weekend.

    Playing in Columbus on a Saturday night is probably the biggest difference from last year's game, and will definitely be the major X-factor. This will be the loudest/craziest atmosphere USC has ever played in under Pete Carroll (Eugene, Oregon and Seattle, Washington are a distant second). However, will that be enough to put the Buckeyes on top?

    After leaving the OSU-Navy game on Saturday, I was almost as shocked as the majority of the fans in the stadium. Ohio State is not a top 10 team. They are a top 20 team, but definitely not a top 10 team. No one gave Navy a chance to beat Ohio State. USC was coming to town the following week. Combine that with the fact that Navy runs a triple option-flexbone offense, which the Buckeyes haven't seen in the Jim Tressel era, and you have a recipe for disaster. Navy played their asses off to the very end, and they deserve a lot of credit because Ohio State didn't just roll over and hand them 27 points. They deserved to win that game as much as Ohio State did. However, I don't think that Ohio State's performance on Saturday was completely indicative of what we will see against USC.

    That is the danger of scheduling Navy for a season opener, the week before the USC game. Your defense has to prepare for a very unique Midshipmen offense, and none of that preparation will be useful against USC's pro-style offense. If there was some good that came out of that nail biter, it's the simple fact that the Ohio State players know they have to refocus this week and work that much harder, in order to beat the Trojans.

    I just don't see how the Buckeyes can beat the Trojans. I expect Ohio State to score some points (Terrelle Pryor has definitelly matured versus last season and the running backs looked good last week), but the Buckeye defense is a big question mark. Ohio State has to slow down the powerful USC running game. They have a stable full of tailbacks, each of which could start for any team in division I college football. The Buckeyes have to make Matt Barkley beat them. That is the only realistic way to defeat USC.

    I will be flat-out shocked if Ohio State finds a way to win this game. With that said, I think that USC wins 27-17. The Buckeye nation will continue to wonder what it's going to take to win another game of this caliber, and the rest of the college football nation will continue to laugh at us because we are a more convenient target than Oklahoma. This is also a huge recruiting weekend for Ohio State, and a double-digit loss would be the worst thing that could happen to Ohio State. The Buckeyes have to find a way to keep this game close, at worst.

    The USC running game is the key for both teams. Matt Barkley has never seen or heard an environment quite like what we'll see on Saturday night. I don't expect Barkley to do anything spectacular, especially if they are able to run the football well. As good as USC's offensive line is, a lot of responsibility will fall on the green Ohio State linebacking corps, which really struggled at times against Navy.

Tuesday, 08 September 2009

  • We're Back!

    After collecting dust for a year, John Cooper's Backyard is back! Look for new entries this week. Here's a teaser...

    "We couldn't have been treated any better in Columbus. It was amazing how many times we were stopped and thanked for our service. Everywhere we went, people wanted to talk to us. Many of my friends were telling me that they now have to change their view of Ohio State. Many who didn't like them before will now root for them. It was a really cool experience."  - Donald Jack, USNA ‘91

    Thanks to all of the fans for making the Naval Academy and their fans feel welcome this past weekend. After hearing about the way Navy and their fans were treated at Wake Forest last September, I really hoped that Ohio State fans would go out of their way to show their appreciation for these service members, their friends, their families, and their fans. Go Bucks!

tommotornado

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    • Name: Tom
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